I’ve often wondered what the actual odds of winning a hardway bet, I know that if you play the hard 6 or 8, then it pays 10-1. Over the course of a few hours I tracked about 25 hands where I bet on either the Hard 6 or 8, mostly I played €100 on the hardway bet and 100 on the matching big number. This meant that any win would bring me at least €1200.
In 20 rounds that I tracked I hit double 3’s once, lost completely by rolling a 7 eight times, and I lost by rolling 1 six or eight without getting double 3’s or double 4’s 11 times. In those 11 times I didn’t actually lose anything, because while I lost the hardway bet, I still won the Big bet, and broke even. So overall, I didn’t win one out of ten, but I didn’t lose 9 out of ten either.
After tracking the 20 hands I kept on playing, and I had my most amazing run of wins, and I won over €3,ooo, ending the run with €7,239